Final Score: Pirates 0 - Brewers 0
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET
Pirates @ Brewers
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
Pirates
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Brewers
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 100% | 89% | 19% | 14% |
| If Win | 100% | 90% | 20% | 15% |
| If Lose | 100% | 87% | 19% | 14% |
| Stat | Pirates | Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 202 | 259 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Pirates | Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 114 | 112 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 63% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 11
0-11
Brewers
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Los Angeles Angels
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Los Angeles Angels
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -13 · Total: 19
3-16
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5