Final Score: Diamondbacks 8 - Pirates 7
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 105 | 80 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 107 | 107 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 53% |
Recent Results
Diamondbacks
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 17
7-10
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 23, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Athletics
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 20
15-5
vs Athletics
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Athletics
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Pirates
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 11
0-11
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New York Yankees
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ New York Yankees
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ New York Yankees
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1