Final Score: Diamondbacks 3 - Nationals 5
Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
55-49 Rating 1516
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.3
Nationals
52-52 Rating 1467
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Nationals
All-time wins 84 102
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.4
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Nationals
Games played 104 104
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.2
Win percentage 53% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 38%