Final Score: Cardinals 5 - Diamondbacks 4
Friday, July 17, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Cardinals @ Diamondbacks
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cardinals | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 118 | 77 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 9 |
| Stat | Cardinals | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 95 | 96 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 57% |
Recent Results
Cardinals
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Chicago Cubs
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
Diamondbacks
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7