Final Score: Diamondbacks 1 - Padres 4
Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
45-45 Rating 1503
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
44-46 Rating 1520
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Padres
All-time wins 249 234
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 8 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Padres
Games played 90 90
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 50% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 51%