Final Score: Dodgers 4 - Padres 2
Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Dodgers @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dodgers
53-30 Rating 1588
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.4
Padres
43-38 Rating 1531
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dodgers Padres
All-time wins 542 438
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 3.6
Last meeting 15 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Dodgers Padres
Games played 83 81
Avg runs scored 5.3 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.5 4.1
Win percentage 64% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 53%