Final Score: Braves 6 - Padres 7
Tuesday, June 23, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Braves @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
48-29 Rating 1536
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.1
Padres
40-37 Rating 1527
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Padres
All-time wins 373 304
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Padres
Games played 77 77
Avg runs scored 4.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.0
Win percentage 62% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 51%