Final Score: Padres 3 - Rangers 4
Sunday, June 21, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET

Padres @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
39-36 Rating 1528
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.1
Rangers
36-40 Rating 1492
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Rangers
All-time wins 33 26
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Rangers
Games played 75 76
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.2
Win percentage 52% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 50%