Final Score: Padres 6 - Cardinals 1
Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
Padres @ Cardinals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 222 | 319 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Padres | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 72 | 71 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 57% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 13, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs New York Mets
Jun 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs New York Mets
Jun 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Cardinals
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Minnesota Twins
Jun 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Minnesota Twins
Jun 13, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Minnesota Twins
Jun 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 17
8-9
@ New York Mets
Jun 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ New York Mets
Jun 10, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ New York Mets
Jun 9, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5