Final Score: Reds 2 - Padres 6
Monday, June 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Reds @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
31-33 Rating 1491
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.6
Padres
33-31 Rating 1526
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Padres
All-time wins 352 311
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Padres
Games played 64 64
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.0
Win percentage 48% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 49%