Final Score: Padres 2 - Phillies 3
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
32-27 Rating 1533
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
31-29 Rating 1544
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 230 300
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 59 60
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 54% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 48%