Final Score: Guardians 1 - Phillies 0
Friday, May 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Guardians @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
30-22 Rating 1533
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Phillies
25-25 Rating 1539
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Phillies
All-time wins 13 15
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Phillies
Games played 52 50
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.7
Win percentage 58% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 48%