Final Score: Phillies 6 - Pirates 0
Sunday, May 17, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
23-23 Rating 1541
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Pirates
24-22 Rating 1477
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 323 339
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.4
Last meeting 6 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 46 46
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.5
Win percentage 50% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 52%