Final Score: Phillies 6 - Pirates 0
Saturday, May 16, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
22-23 Rating 1539
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Pirates
24-21 Rating 1479
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 322 339
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.4
Last meeting 11 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 45 45
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.4
Win percentage 49% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 54%