Final Score: Phillies 11 - Pirates 9
Friday, May 15, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Phillies @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 321 | 339 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Phillies | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 44 | 44 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 57% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ Boston Red Sox
May 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Boston Red Sox
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Boston Red Sox
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Colorado Rockies
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs Colorado Rockies
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs Colorado Rockies
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
vs Athletics
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 13
1-12
vs Athletics
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Athletics
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Miami Marlins
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
Pirates
vs Colorado Rockies
May 14, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Colorado Rockies
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Colorado Rockies
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ San Francisco Giants
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ San Francisco Giants
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 16
13-3
@ San Francisco Giants
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0