Final Score: Phillies 1 - Marlins 0
Monday, May 4, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Phillies @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 299 | 247 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 2 |
| Stat | Phillies | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 34 | 34 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 41% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 58% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ Miami Marlins
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Miami Marlins
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
Marlins
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ San Francisco Giants
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ San Francisco Giants
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ San Francisco Giants
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1