Final Score: Phillies 7 - Cubs 8
Thursday, April 23, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
8-16 Rating 1529
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Cubs
15-9 Rating 1534
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 347 313
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 2 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 24 24
Avg runs scored 3.4 5.5
Avg runs conceded 5.5 3.7
Win percentage 33% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 67%