Final Score: Braves 3 - Phillies 1
Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Braves @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
13-7 Rating 1520
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
8-11 Rating 1539
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Phillies
All-time wins 437 400
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 9 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Phillies
Games played 20 19
Avg runs scored 5.8 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.1 5.6
Win percentage 65% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 38%