Final Score: Braves 4 - Phillies 2
Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET

Braves @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
14-7 Rating 1522
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
8-12 Rating 1537
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Phillies
All-time wins 438 400
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Phillies
Games played 21 20
Avg runs scored 5.6 3.6
Avg runs conceded 3.0 5.5
Win percentage 67% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 36%