Final Score: Diamondbacks 5 - Phillies 4
Friday, April 10, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
7-6 Rating 1512
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Phillies
6-6 Rating 1547
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Phillies
All-time wins 96 92
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.6
Last meeting 9 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Phillies
Games played 13 12
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.5
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.8
Win percentage 54% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 50%