Final Score: Cubs 11 - Phillies 2
Wednesday, April 15, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Cubs @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 309 | 347 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 10 | 4 |
| Stat | Cubs | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 17 | 17 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 5.1 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 45% |
Recent Results
Cubs
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 20
7-13
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
Phillies
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 20
13-7
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ San Francisco Giants
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ San Francisco Giants
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ San Francisco Giants
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1