Final Score: Pirates 4 - Cubs 3
Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
Pirates @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 480 | 459 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 0 |
| Stat | Pirates | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 13 | 13 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 43% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
Cubs
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Los Angeles Angels
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2