Final Score: Orioles 2 - Pirates 8
Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Orioles @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
3-5 Rating 1497
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.0
Pirates
5-3 Rating 1475
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Pirates
All-time wins 26 22
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Pirates
Games played 8 8
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.0
Win percentage 38% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%