Final Score: Pirates 2 - Mets 4
Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
0-1 Rating 1467
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.7
Mets
1-0 Rating 1513
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Mets
All-time wins 319 339
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 4.1
Last meeting 7 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Mets
Games played 1 1
Avg runs scored 7.0 11.0
Avg runs conceded 11.0 7.0
Win percentage 0% 100%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%