Final Score: Mets 3 - Cubs 10
Wednesday, September 24, 2025 at 8:05 PM ET

Mets @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
81-76 Rating 1514
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
88-69 Rating 1524
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Cubs
All-time wins 327 327
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 9 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Cubs
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.0
Win percentage 52% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 61%