Final Score: Padres 3 - Mets 8
Tuesday, September 16, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET
Padres @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 267 | 260 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 0 |
| Stat | Padres | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 150 | 150 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 61% |
Recent Results
Padres
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 14
11-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
Mets
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4