Final Score: Mets 0 - Phillies 1
Monday, September 8, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
76-67 Rating 1522
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
83-60 Rating 1554
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 494 473
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 6 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 143 143
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 53% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 66%