Final Score: Marlins 7 - Mets 4
Thursday, August 28, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET
Marlins @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 243 | 289 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 3.9 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 0 |
| Stat | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 133 | 133 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 65% |
Recent Results
Marlins
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -11 · Total: 13
1-12
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 13
2-11
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Mets
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 16
13-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 19
12-7
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 21, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3