Final Score: Marlins 9 - Mets 19
Friday, August 29, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
63-71 Rating 1470
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.8
Mets
72-62 Rating 1525
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Mets
All-time wins 244 289
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.9 4.5
Last meeting 7 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Mets
Games played 134 134
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 47% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 64%