Final Score: Mets 3 - Nationals 9
Thursday, August 21, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET
Mets @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 485 | 473 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 5 |
| Stat | Mets | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 126 | 126 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 39% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 20
9-11
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 17
6-11
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 18
13-5
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
Nationals
vs New York Mets
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New York Mets
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 20
9-11
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0