Final Score: Phillies 11 - Nationals 9
Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 11:35 AM ET
Phillies @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 502 | 460 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 2 |
| Stat | Phillies | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 123 | 123 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 39% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Nationals
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Athletics
Aug 7, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6