Final Score: Phillies 1 - Reds 6
Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
69-49 Rating 1554
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Reds
62-58 Rating 1497
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Reds
All-time wins 240 285
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Reds
Games played 118 120
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.2
Win percentage 58% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 55%