Final Score: Reds 3 - Cubs 2
Monday, August 4, 2025 at 8:05 PM ET
Reds @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 408 | 381 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 7 |
| Stat | Reds | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 112 | 111 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 64% |
Recent Results
Reds
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 31, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 23
11-12
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
Cubs
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 17
5-12
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8