Final Score: Orioles 3 - Phillies 13
Monday, August 4, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET
Orioles @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 40 | 33 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 5.2 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 3 |
| Stat | Orioles | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 112 | 111 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 64% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 17
8-9
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 20
16-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 18
18-0
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
Phillies
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New York Yankees
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Yankees
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ New York Yankees
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 17
12-5
vs Boston Red Sox
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 17
8-9