Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Orioles 11
Monday, July 28, 2025 at 6:35 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 397 | 341 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 6 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 106 | 105 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 45% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 48% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 24, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs New York Yankees
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
Orioles
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 18
18-0
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11