Blue Jays @ Astros
Blue Jays
Model Probability
Astros
Houston Astros +0.3
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | 3–1 | Blue Jays +2 | Astros +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 5–1 | Cardinals +4 | Blue Jays +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1–5 | Blue Jays +4 | Blue Jays +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 1–3 | Blue Jays +2 | Blue Jays +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 5–2 | Blue Jays +3 | Blue Jays +0.1 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays Red Sox | 345-405-4 | 46.0% | -4.5 | 728 |
| Blue Jays Yankees | 341-408-6 | 45.5% | +8.3 | 728 |
| Blue Jays Orioles | 405-347-6 | 53.9% | +17.4 | 726 |
| Blue Jays Rays | 218-271-3 | 44.6% | -31.4 | 478 |
| Blue Jays Rangers | 241-232-3 | 51.0% | +1.3 | 463 |