Reds @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Reds 1 - Blue Jays 5
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET
Cincinnati
Reds
75-86 Rating 1486
Form: WLWLW
1 – 5
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.5
Toronto
Blue Jays
78-83 Rating 1514
Form: LLLWL
Blue Jays

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Blue Jays
All-time wins 12 20
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 6.2
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Blue Jays
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.3
Win percentage 47% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 51%