Final Score: Tigers 1 - Blue Jays 5
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET
Tigers @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Tigers | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 218 | 253 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 10 | 1 |
| Stat | Tigers | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 151 | 152 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 51% |
Recent Results
Tigers
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
Blue Jays
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 11
1-10
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Athletics
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Athletics
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Athletics
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3