Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Royals 3
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 237 | 219 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 2 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 142 | 142 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 53% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
vs Kansas City Royals
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Kansas City Royals
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
Royals
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 15
13-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3