Final Score: Marlins 3 - Royals 7
Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET
Marlins @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 13 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 6 |
| Stat | Marlins | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 140 | 140 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 53% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
Royals
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 15
13-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1