Final Score: Marlins 6 - Royals 3
Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
69-69 Rating 1490
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Kansas City Royals +0.1
Royals
62-76 Rating 1479
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Royals
All-time wins 14 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Royals
Games played 138 138
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.9
Win percentage 50% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 55%