Final Score: Nationals 0 - Marlins 0
Friday, August 21, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
35-34 Rating 1465
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Marlins
34-35 Rating 1486
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 265 277
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 69 69
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.4
Win percentage 51% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 59%