Final Score: Pirates 0 - Marlins 2
Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
58-62 Rating 1478
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Marlins
60-59 Rating 1492
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Marlins
All-time wins 128 110
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Marlins
Games played 120 119
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.3
Win percentage 48% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 60%