Final Score: Marlins 2 - Mets 4
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Marlins @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 251 | 294 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 10 |
| Stat | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 109 | 109 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 42% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 44% |
Recent Results
Marlins
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Houston Astros
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Houston Astros
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Houston Astros
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
Mets
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 17
14-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1