Mets @ Guardians
Mets
Model Probability
Guardians
Cleveland Guardians +0.6
New York Mets
MLB 2026 season
Record
47-66
VS EXPECTED
-8.1
Rating
1478
Rating Rank
22
Season Outlook
Full Playoff ChancesRating trend through time
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | 2–0 | Marlins +2 | Mets +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 6–2 | Marlins +4 | Mets +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 5–2 | Marlins +3 | Mets +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 2–4 | Mets +2 | Mets +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 1–0 | Braves +1 | Braves +0.2 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets Phillies | 498-482-4 | 50.8% | +5.7 | 925 |
| Mets Nationals | 489-480-6 | 50.5% | -14.5 | 912 |
| Mets Braves | 395-443-3 | 47.1% | -9.5 | 795 |
| Mets Cardinals | 341-337 | 50.3% | +10.2 | 635 |
| Mets Pirates | 340-320-5 | 51.5% | +5.9 | 624 |
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