Mets @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Mets 7 - Rangers 2
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET
New York
Mets
72-85 Rating 1495
Form: LWWLW
7 – 2
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Texas Rangers +0.2
Texas
Rangers
78-79 Rating 1495
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Rangers
All-time wins 17 12
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.6 4.4
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Rangers
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 46% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 56%