Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Rangers 7
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
82-69 Rating 1537
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Rangers
75-76 Rating 1495
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rangers
All-time wins 296 270
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 4.7
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rangers
Games played 151 151
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.4
Win percentage 54% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 56%