Final Score: Royals 1 - Red Sox 5
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Royals @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
66-82 Rating 1475
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Red Sox
80-68 Rating 1535
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Red Sox
All-time wins 250 269
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.9
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Red Sox
Games played 148 148
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 3.9
Win percentage 45% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 49%