Final Score: Diamondbacks 5 - Royals 4
Monday, September 7, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
76-68 Rating 1519
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.2
Royals
64-80 Rating 1475
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Royals
All-time wins 22 18
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.2 5.0
Last meeting 0 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Royals
Games played 144 144
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.9
Win percentage 53% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 53%