Final Score: Phillies 0 - Diamondbacks 1
Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 3:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
79-60 Rating 1559
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Diamondbacks
73-67 Rating 1514
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
All-time wins 95 98
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.7
Last meeting 7 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
Games played 139 140
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.5
Win percentage 57% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 56%